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全部7Iran4ships4Strait of Hormuz4Economic Policy3Fed3Fed Rates3Hormuz3Jerome Powell3Oil3transit3Iran Ceasefire2Business1fomc1Macro Geopolitics1Macro Single1Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec1

经济

经济

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

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概率
是否
新
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

11 (275 bps)
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是—否—
7 (175 bps)
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是—否—
6 (150 bps)
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是—否—
9 (225 bps)
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是—否—
1 (25 bps)
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是—否—
10 (250 bps)
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是—否—
5 (125 bps)
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是—否—
3 (75 bps)
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是—否—
4 (100 bps)
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是—否—
0 (0 bps)
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是—否—
2 (50 bps)
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是—否—
8 (200 bps)
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是—否—
12+ (300+ bps)
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是—否—
新
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

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概率
是否
新
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

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概率
是否
新
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

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概率
是否
新
Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

50+ bps increase
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是—否—
50+ bps decrease
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是—否—
25 bps decrease
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是—否—
No change
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是—否—
25 bps increase
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是—否—
新Monthly
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

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概率
是否
新
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