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7
Iran
4
ships
4
Strait of Hormuz
4
Economic Policy
3
Fed
3
Fed Rates
3
Hormuz
3
Jerome Powell
3
Oil
3
transit
3
Iran Ceasefire
2
Business
1
fomc
1
Macro Geopolitics
1
Macro Single
1
Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec
1
Economy
Economy
All
Iran
ships
Strait of Hormuz
Economic Policy
Fed
Fed Rates
Hormuz
Jerome Powell
Oil
transit
Iran Ceasefire
Business
fomc
Macro Geopolitics
Macro Single
Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
—
chance
Yes
No
New
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
11 (275 bps)
—
Yes
—
No
—
7 (175 bps)
—
Yes
—
No
—
6 (150 bps)
—
Yes
—
No
—
9 (225 bps)
—
Yes
—
No
—
1 (25 bps)
—
Yes
—
No
—
10 (250 bps)
—
Yes
—
No
—
5 (125 bps)
—
Yes
—
No
—
3 (75 bps)
—
Yes
—
No
—
4 (100 bps)
—
Yes
—
No
—
0 (0 bps)
—
Yes
—
No
—
2 (50 bps)
—
Yes
—
No
—
8 (200 bps)
—
Yes
—
No
—
12+ (300+ bps)
—
Yes
—
No
—
New
Fed rate hike in 2026?
—
chance
Yes
No
New
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
—
chance
Yes
No
New
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
—
chance
Yes
No
New
Fed Decision in July?
50+ bps increase
—
Yes
—
No
—
50+ bps decrease
—
Yes
—
No
—
25 bps decrease
—
Yes
—
No
—
No change
—
Yes
—
No
—
25 bps increase
—
Yes
—
No
—
New
Monthly
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
—
chance
Yes
No
New
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