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Geopolitik

Geopolitik

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

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$41.7M Vol.

Who will attend the NATO Summit?

Who will attend the NATO Summit?

97%

96%

9%

$603 Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

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Chance

Neu

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

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$8.8M Vol.

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

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Chance

Neu

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?

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Chance

$919k Vol.

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Díaz-Canel - Cuba President

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Sánchez - Spanish PM

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Netanyahu - Israel PM

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Milei - Argentina President

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Macron - France President

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Sheinbaum - Mexico President

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al-Sharaa - Syria President

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Petro - Colombia President

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Merz - German Chancellor

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Takaichi - Japan PM

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Trump - USA President

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Newsom - California Governor

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Erdoğan - Türkiye President

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None before 2027

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Lula da Silva - Brazil President

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Zelenskyy - Ukraine President

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Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea

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Lecornu - France PM

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Abbas - President of Palestine

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Starmer - UK PM

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Xi - General Secretary of the CCP

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Albanese - Australia PM

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Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President

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Putin - Russia President

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Neu

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

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Chance

Neu

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

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Chance

Neu

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

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$3.0M Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

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$817k Vol.

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

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Neu

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

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$1.6M Vol.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

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Chance

Neu

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

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Chance

Neu

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

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Chance

Neu

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

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Chance

Neu

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

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Chance

Neu

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

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Chance

Neu

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

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Chance

Neu

Israel closes its airspace by...?

Israel closes its airspace by...?

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$14.1M Vol.

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

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$44.8M Vol.

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

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$1.7M Vol.

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

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No Meeting by June 30

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Other - Middle East/North Africa

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Neu

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

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Chance

Neu

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz

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Enrichment of Uranium

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Troop Withdrawal

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$1.9M Vol.

US-Iran deal text released by...?

US-Iran deal text released by...?

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$262k Vol.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

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Chance

Neu